Mar 11, 2026
Brazil Corn Estimate Lowered 2.0 mt to 133.0 Million
Author: Michael Cordonnier/Soybean & Corn Advisor, Inc.
Brazil's safrinha corn was 82% planted as of late last week which represents an advance of 16% for the week according to AgRural. The planting window for safrinha corn is essentially closed yet there is still 18% left to plant or approximately 3 million hectares (7.4 million acres).
The dilemma for Brazilian farmers is should they keep planting safrinha corn and risk low yields or switch to another crop such as grain sorghum. Some farmers will go ahead and keep planting because they already have the seed and nitrogen. The strategy will be to lower plant populations and decrease the application of nitrogen. For others, they will plant an alternative crop such as grain sorghum.
The Brazil corn estimate was lowered 2.0 million tons this week because there may be 1-2 million hectares of safrinha corn that do not get planted (2.4 to 4.9 million acres). Additionally, approximately 6 million hectares (14.8 million acres) may be planted during March with a higher risk of low yields.
Mato Grosso - Safrinha corn in Mato Grosso was 93.6% planted as of late last week compared to 96.4% last year and 95.3% average. This represents an advance of 11.5% for the week. The southeastern part of the state is the slowest planting with 83.2% of the safrinha corn planted. Below is the safrinha corn planting progress in Mato Grosso for March 6, 2026 from Imea.
